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Utah's 3rd Congressional District special election, 2017

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2018
2016

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Utah's 3rd Congressional District

Major Party Conventions
June 17, 2017

Primary Date
August 15, 2017

General Election Date
November 7, 2017

Election Winner:
John Curtis Republican Party
Incumbent prior to the election:
Jason Chaffetz Republican Party
Jason Chaffetz.jpg

2017-2018 Special Elections

Flag of Utah.png


A special election was held in the 3rd Congressional District of Utah for the U.S. House of Representatives. Provo Mayor John Curtis (R) defeated Kathie Allen (D) by 32 percentage points in the election to replace Jason Chaffetz (R), who resigned from office on June 30, 2017.[1][2]

The general election featured a total of six candidates, including Libertarian Joe Buchman, Independent American candidate Jason Christensen, independent Sean Whalen, and United Utah Party candidate Jim Bennett faced each other for the seat.

A Republican primary was held on August 15, 2017, with John Curtis securing the nomination.[3] Curtis took a plurality of the votes and won with 40.5 percent.

A total of 22 candidates, including 13 Republicans and three Democrats, initially declared their intent to run for Chaffetz's seat. The Democratic and Republican state party conventions were held on June 17, 2017. Kathie Allen won the Democratic Party's nomination and Christopher Herrod won that of the Republican Party.[4][5][6][7][8]

Election Updates
  • Polls: Curtis led his primary competitors, according to a poll released by Dan Jones & Associates on August 11, 2017.[9]
  • Spending: As of August 15, 2017, six organizations have made independent expenditures totaling more than $880,000 in the race. The plurality of satellite spending—approximately 28 percent—went to opposition ads and direct mail campaigns against Curtis.
  • Most recent endorsement: Herrod was endorsed by Club for Growth on August 4, 2017.

What were the big questions for voters heading into November 7?

  • Will we see Democratic spending in the general election?
  • Will John Curtis' campaign strategy change between the primary and the general?

The special election was the sixth special election to the U.S. House in 2017 and the first special election for a U.S. House seat in Utah since 1930. Chaffetz was the first member of Congress in the state's history to announce a resignation from Congress.[10] The district was ranked by The Cook Political Report as the 16th most Republican congressional district in the country.[11] Further, Republicans have won the seat in every general election between 1998 and 2017 with a margin of victory of at least 25 percent, making the Republican convention and primary focal points of the special election.

Utah's 3rd Congressional District is located in the eastern portion of the state and includes Carbon, Emery, Grand, San Juan, and Wasatch counties as well as portions of Salt Lake and Utah counties.[12]

Candidate Filing Deadline Major Party Conventions Primary Voter Registration Deadline Postmark for primary mail-in ballots Primary Election General Election
May 26, 2017 (registered parties) and June 12, 2017 (unaffiliated)
June 17, 2017
August 8, 2017
August 14, 2017
August 15, 2017
November 7, 2017

Profiles of Republican primary candidates

The candidates listed below are in alphabetical order.

Republican Party Tanner Ainge (R)

Ainge.jpg

Political newcomer Tanner Ainge qualified for the Republican primary ballot after collecting 7,000 signatures from registered Republicans in the district.[13] He attended Brigham Young University and Northwestern University School of Law, and worked in the healthcare industry and consulting after a two-year mission in Ghana. Name recognition from his father, former professional athlete and Boston Celtics general manager Danny Ainge, and spending from the newly formed Conservative Utah super PAC, boosted his campaign.[14][15]

According to his campaign website, reducing the national debt and taxes, protecting freedom of religion, and replacing the Affordable Care Act were policy priorities.[16] He wrote in an op-ed for Deseret News, "On a daily basis, I experience firsthand how the federal government imposes burdensome red tape, a complex tax code and crushing regulations. In almost every instance, these burdens do more harm than good and result in less growth, fewer jobs and greater barriers to entry for small business. I want to take action today to get government out of the way so that our private sector can thrive and create more opportunity."[17]

Republican Party John Curtis (R)

CurtisUtah.jpg

Provo City Mayor John Curtis qualified for the Republican primary ballot after collecting more than 7,000 signatures from registered Republicans in the district.[18] With an early endorsement from Utah Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and a double-digit lead in primary polls, Curtis was considered the frontrunner.

He listed reducing government spending, public lands management, simplifying the tax code, and modifying the Affordable Care Act as primary policy concerns.[19] "Washington is broken, but our local politics are working. I’ve done the hard work. I cut taxes and shrank government, and now Provo is booming. This is my message to Washington about conservative governance. It works!" Curtis wrote in an op-ed.[20]

Republican Party Christopher Herrod (R)

Christopher Herrod.jpg

Former state legislator Christopher Herrod advanced to the Republican primary after winning the party's convention, where he defeated 11 other Republicans by securing support from a majority of the convention delegates on the fifth ballot of voting.[21] He previously served in the Utah House of Representatives, representing District 62 from his 2007 appointment to 2013.

Herrod, a self-described "unconventional conservative," advocated self-imposed term limits, repealing the Affordable Care Act, addressing illegal immigration, and shifting rulemaking authority to the legislature on his campaign website.[22] He emphasized his stance on immigration during his candidacy announcement, saying, "Nobody has represented the voices of the legal immigrants or the working class that are getting crushed by illegal immigration. I've done that in the past."[23]

Paths to the ballot

Candidates had the option of collecting signatures or participating in a party convention to qualify for the Democratic or Republican primary ballot. Both parties had rules specifically governing the primary process for special elections that ensured that only one candidate could advance from each convention.[24] In the Democratic Party, the candidate receiving the most votes from delegates advances to the primary, regardless of the margin.[25] In the Republican Party, a candidate must receive votes from more than 50 percent of delegates to advance to the primary election.[26] If no candidates successfully qualify for the primary ballot via the signature-gathering process, the candidate advancing from the party's convention will automatically represent that party in the general election.[27]

Prior to the passage of Utah's SB-54 in 2014, candidates could only represent a party on a primary or general election ballot if they qualified through a recognized party's convention. SB-54 amended state law to allow candidates to be listed on the primary ballot for congressional races if they received 7,000 validated signatures from constituents. State law requires signatures to be submitted to the state for validation by the filing deadline for unaffiliated candidates, which for this race was June 12.[28] Unaffiliated candidates qualify for the general election ballot by collecting a minimum of 300 verified signatures from constituents.[27]

Party Republican Democratic Libertarian Independent American
Convention date June 17, 2017 June 17, 2017 June 10, 2017 June 16, 2017

Candidates

General election candidates

Primary and convention candidates

Democratic Party Democrats

Withdrawn

  • Faeiza Javed - Vice chairwoman of the Salt Lake County Democratic Party

Independent Third party candidates







Republican Party Republicans

Withdrawn

Election results

U.S. House, Utah's 3rd Congressional District general election, November 7, 2017
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Curtis 58% 85,751
     Democratic Kathie Allen 25.6% 37,801
     UUT Jim Bennett 9.3% 13,747
     Independent Sean Whalen 3.1% 4,554
     Libertarian Joe Buchman 2.5% 3,644
     Independent American Jason Christensen 1.5% 2,286
Total Votes 147,783
Source: Lieutenant Governor's Office


U.S. House, Utah's 3rd Congressional District Republican primary, 2017
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Curtis 43.3% 31,481
     Republican Christopher Herrod 32.6% 23,686
     Republican Tanner Ainge 24.2% 17,565
Total Votes 72,732
Source: Lieutenant Governor's Office

Who is weighing in on this race, and what are they saying?

Satellite spending

As of August 15, 2017, six organizations made independent expenditures totaling more than $880,000 in the race. The plurality of that spending—approximately 28 percent—went to opposition ads and direct mail campaigns against Curtis.[30]

  • Club for Growth Action spent nearly $300,000 on digital media and television ads to oppose Curtis and Ainge and support Herrod.
  • Conservative Utah, a super PAC formed in July 2017, spent more than $240,000 on ad buys, media production, and direct mail campaigns for Ainge.
  • Jobs, Freedom, and Security PAC spent $30,000 to support Herrod.
  • National Horizon spent $214,000 on media production and direct mail campaigns to support Herrod and oppose Curtis.
  • Senate Conservatives Action spent approximately $95,000 on a media buy for Herrod.
  • Senate Conservatives Fund spent $1,200 on Herrod.

Race background

Timeline

See also: Timeline of Utah's 3rd Congressional District special election, 2017

The timeline below summarizes the most recent noteworthy events in this election.

District overview

Utah's 3rd Congressional District, which stretches from Northwestern to Southeastern Utah, had a total population of 743,301 as of 2015. The district was 90.6 percent white, higher than the national average of 76.9 percent. The percentage of the district's population that identified as African-American / Black (0.6 percent), and Asian (2.1 percent) were below their respective national averages, while the percentage who identified as Natives of North America, Alaska, and Pacific Islands (2.3 percent) exceeded the national average (1.5 percent). The district's median household income was above the national average, $66,007 to $53,889, and the district has a slightly lower percentage of residents without health insurance, 9.3 percent to 10.5 percent. The district's population had a higher percentage of high-school graduates, 93.4 percent to 86.7 percent, and individuals with at least a bachelor's degree, 39.6 percent to 29.8 percent, than the respective national averages.

Party conventions

Democratic Party rules called for a single ballot, with the candidate receiving the most delegate votes being named the winner. Kathie Allen received support from 76 percent of the delegates and advanced to the general election on November 7, 2017.

Republican Party rules called for delegates to vote until a candidate received support from a majority of the delegates. Christopher Herrod, former member of the Utah House of Representatives, won the convention on the fifth ballot. The following graphic indicates the vote tallies for each ballot.

Debates

July 11, 2017, Republican debate

A Republican primary debate sponsored by Americans for Prosperity was held on July 11, 2017. All three primary candidates—Provo Mayor John Curtis, former state legislator Chris Herrod, and business executive Tanner Aing—participated.[31]

Endorsements

Republican Party Tanner Ainge (R)

Republican Party John Curtis (R)

  • Former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney (R) - "Throughout his career as a businessman and a mayor, John has solved tough problems. That's what Washington, D.C. needs now more than ever. John's can-do attitude will serve Utah well. I am proud to endorse John Curtis, a leader who will get things done for Utah."[34]
  • Utah Gov. Gary Herbert (R) - "John gets things done and is a proven conservative leader. I have no doubt that John will be a congressman who will make Utah proud."[35]
  • Daily Herald - "Utah needs more politicians that are concerned with Utah, not Washington, its inner circles or TV fame. While the other two Republican candidates also emulate some of the principles Utah County holds dear, we are fortunately faced with candidates in an election that fall in the line of good, better, best. In our minds, Curtis stands as the best option."[36]
  • Salt Lake Tribune - "Curtis is finishing his second term as mayor of what is widely seen as one of the most successful and best-governed cities in the state. He has earned a reputation as a level-headed and inclusive leader who was able to control budgets and keep spending under control in a way that was thoughtful rather than vindictive."[37]

Republican Party Christopher Herrod (R)

  • Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) - "Chris Herrod for Congress is a strong conservative and a principled leader whom I admire. He led my campaign in Utah to a major victory, and I'm confident he'll prove to be a courageous conservative in Congress—at a time when more strong leaders are very much needed."[39]
  • Sen. Rand Paul (R-Kentucky) - "As a state representative and leader in his community, Chris has proven that he understands the principles of liberty and has shown that he is willing to fight for them...There is no doubt that he has the convictions that will help to move this country in the right direction."[40]
  • Ken Cuccinelli, of the Senate Conservatives Fund - "[Herrod] has a proven record as a state legislator and he supports all of our policy goals to reduce the size of government and expand freedom and opportunity for all Americans."[41]

Spending

Pre-Special Reports for the Republican Primary (Reporting Period: July 1-26, 2017)
Candidate Contributions Expenditures Cash on Hand
Tanner Ainge[42] $76,419 $23,562.03 $96,452.54
John Curtis[43] $138,828 $250,450.70 $106,456.44
Christopher Herrod[44] $58,801 $47,074.89 $89,593.89


Campaign ads

Tanner Ainge Republican Party

Support

"Taxing Records" - Conservative Utah ad, released July 26, 2017

Oppose

"Halloween" - Club for Growth Action ad, released August 7, 2017


John Curtis Republican Party

Support

"Actions Speak Louder" - Curtis campaign ad, released July 18, 2017

Oppose

"Halloween" - Club for Growth Action ad, released August 7, 2017


Polling

Utah's 3rd Congressional District general election
Poll John Curtis (R) Kathie Allen (D)Jim Bennet (UU)Joe Buchman (L)OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Dan Jones & Associates
August 30-September 9, 2017
50%20%6%3%21%+/-4.0607
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org
Utah's 3rd Congressional District Republican primary
Poll John Curtis Chris HerrodTanner AingeUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Dan Jones & Associates
August 2-3, 8, 2017
29%25%16%26%+/-4.6447
Dan Jones & Associates
July 18-20, 2017
37%14%17%32%+/-7.5234
UtahPolicy.com
June 23-July 5, 2017
27%9%5%57%+/-4.9400
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Election issues

United Utah Party candidate recognized on ballot

The United Utah Party, which applied to the Office of the Lieutenant Governor of Utah for recognition as an official party, filed suit requesting that the courts force the state of Utah to allow its nominee, to participate in the special election to represent Utah's 3rd Congressional District. Bennett chose not to file as an unaffiliated candidate, so he did not appear on the ballot. Bennett described his reasoning for not filing as an unaffiliated candidate, "I'm not unaffiliated, and I don't want to run and pretend that I am."[45] Election law in Utah required prospective parties to go through a certification process that involved collecting validated constituent signatures and filing party information. That process was not completed in time for the party to participate, according to the office of the Utah Lieutenant Governor.

On August 2, 2017, district judge David Nuffer ordered that Bennett appear on the November 7, 2017, general election ballot. "The state’s interests do not require or justify effectively barring UUP and its candidate, Mr. Bennett, from participating in the special election as a new political party," he wrote.[46]

Special elections to the 115th U.S. Congress

See also: Special elections to the 115th United States Congress (2017-2018)

In the 17 special elections called to fill vacancies in the 115th Congress in 2017 and 2018, nine Republicans and eight Democrats won. Four elections resulted in a partisan flip:


Results of special elections to the 115th Congress
Race Election date Incumbent Winner Election MOV Previous election MOV 2016 Presidential election MOV[47]
Kansas' 4th Congressional District April 11, 2017 Republican Party Mike Pompeo Republican Party Ron Estes R+6 R+31 R+27
Montana's At-Large Congressional District May 25, 2017 Republican Party Ryan Zinke Republican Party Greg Gianforte R+6 R+15 R+21
California's 34th Congressional District June 6, 2017 Democratic Party Xavier Becerra Democratic Party Jimmy Gomez D+18[48] D+54[48] D+73
Georgia's 6th Congressional District June 20, 2017 Republican Party Tom Price Republican Party Karen Handel R+4 R+24 R+1
South Carolina's 5th Congressional District June 20, 2017 Republican Party Mick Mulvaney Republican Party Ralph Norman R+3 R+20 R+18
Utah's 3rd Congressional District November 7, 2017 Republican Party Jason Chaffetz Republican Party John Curtis R+32 R+47 R+24
U.S. Senate in Alabama December 12, 2017 Republican Party Jeff Sessions Democratic Party Doug Jones D+2 R+28 R+28
Pennsylvania's 18th Congressional District March 13, 2018 Republican Party Tim Murphy Democratic Party Conor Lamb D+0[49] R+100 R+19
Arizona's 8th Congressional District April 24, 2018 Republican Party Trent Franks Republican Party Debbie Lesko R+6 R+38 R+21
Texas' 27th Congressional District June 30, 2018 Republican Party Blake Farenthold Republican Party Michael Cloud R+23 R+24 R+23
Ohio's 12th Congressional District August 7, 2018 Republican Party Patrick Tiberi Republican Party Troy Balderson R+1 R+40 R+11
Michigan's 13th Congressional District November 6, 2018 Democratic Party John Conyers Jr. Democratic Party Brenda Jones D+78 D+61 D+61
U.S. Senate in Minnesota November 6, 2018 Democratic Party Al Franken Democratic Party Tina Smith D+11 D+10 D+2
U.S. Senate in Mississippi November 6, 2018 Republican Party Thad Cochran Republican Party Cindy Hyde-Smith R+8 R+22 R+18
New York's 25th Congressional District November 6, 2018 Democratic Party Louise Slaughter Democratic Party Joseph Morelle D+16 D+12 D+16
Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District November 6, 2018 Republican Party Patrick Meehan Democratic Party Mary Gay Scanlon D+6 R+19 D+2
Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District November 6, 2018 Republican Party Charlie Dent Democratic Party Susan Wild D+0 R+20 R+8

District history

2016

See also: Utah's 3rd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Jason Chaffetz (R) defeated Stephen Tryon (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Chaffetz defeated Chia-Chi Teng in the Republican primary on June 28, 2016.[50][51]

U.S. House, Utah District 3 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJason Chaffetz Incumbent 73.5% 209,589
     Democratic Stephen Tryon 26.5% 75,716
Total Votes 285,305
Source: Utah Secretary of State


U.S. House, Utah, District 3 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJason Chaffetz Incumbent 78.6% 47,439
Chia-Chi Teng 21.4% 12,922
Total Votes 60,361
Source: Utah Lieutenant Governor

2014

See also: Utah's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 34th Congressional District of California held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Jason Chaffetz (R) defeated Brian Wonnacott (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Utah District 3 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJason Chaffetz Incumbent 72.3% 102,952
     Democratic Brian Wonnacott 22.5% 32,059
     Independent American Zack Strong 2.2% 3,192
     Independent Ben Mates 1.1% 1,513
     Independent Stephen Tryon 1.8% 2,584
Total Votes 142,300
Source: Utah Lieutenant Governor, "Elections,"

See also


Footnotes

  1. Utah Policy, "Rules for special election to replace Chaffetz set, but lawsuits loom," May 19, 2017
  2. The New York Times, "Live Election Results: Utah’s Third Congressional District," November 7, 2017
  3. Decision Desk HQ, "Utah 3rd Congressional District- Republican Primary," August 10, 2017
  4. 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 Utah Lieutenant Governor, "Congressional Special Election Information," accessed May 30, 2017
  5. KUER NPR Utah. "GOP Candidates For 3rd Congressional District Woo Delegates," May 20, 2017
  6. Utah Democratic Party, "2017 Organizing Convention," accessed May 30, 2017
  7. Libertarian Party of Utah, "Home Page," accessed June 13, 2017
  8. Independent American Party of Utah, "Home Page," accessed June 13, 2017
  9. UtahPolicy.com, "Poll: 3rd District GOP race still up for grabs," July 10, 2017
  10. Office of the Lieutenant Governor, "Special Election: Frequently Asked Questions," accessed August 12, 2017
  11. The Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index arranged by district," accessed June 15, 2017
  12. United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
  13. The Salt Lake Tribune, " the First candidate qualifies for ballot spot in race to replace Utah 3rd District’s Chaffetz," June 5, 2017
  14. The Salt Lake Tribune, "Ainge name could boost novice in bid for Chaffetz’s soon-to-be-vacated 3rd Congressional District seat," June 30, 2017
  15. Utah Policy, "Brand new super PAC spending big to support Tanner Ainge," July 28, 2017
  16. 'Ainge for Congress, "Issues," accessed August 1, 2017
  17. Deseret News, "Tanner Ainge: I will never back away from the critical priorities," July 30, 2017
  18. The Salt Lake Tribune, "Provo mayor turns in 15,000-plus signatures to qualify for GOP primary for Chaffetz's seat," June 12, 2017
  19. John Curtis for U.S. Congress, "Where I Stand," accessed August 1, 2017
  20. Deseret News, "John R. Curtis: Congress could sorely use some Utah values," July 30, 2017
  21. Daily Herald, "Herald editorial: And then there were three for the GOP race for Chaffetz's seat," June 22, 2017
  22. Herrod for Congress, "About Chris," accessed August 1, 2017
  23. The Salt Lake Tribune, "Former state Rep. Chris Herrod declares candidacy for Congress," May 24, 2017
  24. Utah Policy, "Rules for special election to replace Chaffetz set, but lawsuits loom," May 19, 2017
  25. Ballotpedia staff, "Phone call with the office of the Utah Democratic Party," June 5, 2017
  26. Ballotpedia staff, "Phone call with the office of the Utah Republican Party," June 5, 2017
  27. 27.0 27.1 Ballotpedia staff, "Phone call with the office of Utah's lieutenant governor," June 5, 2017
  28. Utah Policy, "Special election could be the Utah GOP's nightmare come true," May 25, 2017
  29. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named Utah
  30. FEC.gov, "2018 House Independent Expenditure, Utah," accessed August 15, 2017
  31. Daily Herald, "GOP candidates for 3rd Congressional District to debate next week," July 4, 2017
  32. Daily Herald, "Sarah Palin endorses Tanner Ainge in race for Chaffetz seat," August 3, 2017
  33. 33.0 33.1 KLS.com, "Cruz coming to Utah to campaign for Herrod; Ainge announces state lawmaker support," July 21, 2017
  34. Daily Herald, "Mitt Romney endorses John Curtis in race to fill 3rd Congressional District seat," October 4, 2017
  35. The Salt Lake Tribune, "Utah Gov. Gary Herbert gives Curtis rare pre-primary endorsement," July 25, 2017
  36. Daily Herald, "Herald editorial: Daily Herald endorses John Curtis for special election primary," July 30, 2017
  37. The Salt Lake Tribune, "Tribune Editorial: John Curtis is the best choice for 3rd District Republicans," July 31, 2017
  38. Twitter, "Ally Mutnick on Twitter," August 4, 2017
  39. Facebook, "Ted Cruz," June 17, 2017
  40. KSL.com, "Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul endorses Chris Herrod in 3rd District race," July 18, 2017
  41. Senate Conservatives Fund. "Christopher Herrod," accessed June 26, 2017
  42. Federal Election Commission, "Ainge for Congress," accessed August 7, 2017
  43. Federal Election Commission, "Curtis for Congress," accessed August 7, 2017
  44. Federal Election Commission, "Friends of Chris Herrod for Congress," accessed August 7, 2017
  45. The Salt Lake Tribune, "United Utah Party files lawsuit to get on ballot but doesn’t seek to disrupt special election to replace Chaffetz," updated June 22, 2017
  46. The Salt Lake Tribune, "Judge overrules state election leaders, orders new Utah party and candidate to be included on special election ballot," August 2, 2017
  47. Daily Kos, "2008, 2012, & 2016 Presidential Election Results by District," accessed July 11, 2018
  48. 48.0 48.1 Both general election candidates were Democrats.
  49. Lamb won by a margin of 0.4 percentage points.
  50. Utah Secretary of State, "2016 Candidate Filings," accessed March 19, 2016
  51. Politico, "Utah," June 28, 2016


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