United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska, 2024
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May 14, 2024 |
November 5, 2024 |
2024 U.S. House Elections |
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The U.S. House of Representatives elections in Nebraska are scheduled on November 5, 2024. Voters will elect three candidates to serve in the U.S. House from each of the state's three U.S. House districts. The primary was May 14, 2024. The filing deadline for an incumbent was February 15, 2024. The filing deadline for non-incumbent candidates was March 1, 2024.
Partisan breakdown
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Nebraska | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Candidates
District 1
General election candidates
- Mike Flood (Incumbent) (Republican Party)
- Carol Blood (Democratic Party)
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- Mike Flood (Incumbent) ✔
- Michael Connely
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 2
General election candidates
- Don Bacon (Incumbent) (Republican Party)
- Tony Vargas (Democratic Party)
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 3
General election candidates
- Adrian Smith (Incumbent) (Republican Party)
- Daniel Ebers (Democratic Party)
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- Adrian Smith (Incumbent) ✔
- Robert McCuiston
- John Walz
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Nebraska
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
Click the following links to see the race ratings in each of the state's U.S. House districts:
- Nebraska's 1st Congressional District
- Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District
- Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Nebraska in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Nebraska, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Nebraska | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $1,740.00 | 2/15/2024 if incumbent; 3/1/2024 if non-incumbent | Source |
| Nebraska | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 20% of registered voters in the district who voted for president in 2020, or 2,000, whichever is less | $1,740.00 | 8/1/2024 | Source |
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about competitiveness, presidential election history, and party control in the state.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state's U.S. House districts.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Nebraska.
| Nebraska U.S. House primary competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2024 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 66.7% | 3 | 100.0% | ||||
| 2022 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | 2 | 66.7% | ||||
| 2020 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 66.7% | 2 | 66.7% | ||||
| 2018 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 33.3% | ||||
| 2016 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
| 2014 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 66.7% | 3 | 100.0% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Nebraska in 2024. Information below was calculated on March 31, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Eleven candidates ran for Nebraska’s three U.S. House districts, including four Democrats and seven Republicans. That’s 3.7 candidates per district, lower than the 5.3 candidates that ran in 2022 and the 4.7 in 2020
Incumbents filed to run in every district.
Five candidates—two Democrats and three Republicans—ran for the 3rd Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a district in 2024.
Four primaries—one Democratic and three Republican—were contested in 2024. Six primaries were contested in 2022, four primaries were contested in 2020, and three were in 2018.
All incumbents faced primary challenges in 2024. The last year all incumbents faced primary challengers was in 2014.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all three districts, meaning no seats are guaranteed to either party.
| Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Nebraska, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
| Nebraska's 1st | Mike Flood | R+9 | |
| Nebraska's 2nd | Don Bacon | Even | |
| Nebraska's 3rd | Adrian Smith | R+29 | |
| 2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Nebraska[5] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | ||
| Nebraska's 1st | 43.3% | 54.3% | ||
| Nebraska's 2nd | 52.2% | 45.8% | ||
| Nebraska's 3rd | 23.1% | 74.9% | ||
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Nebraska's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Nebraska | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 3 | 5 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Nebraska's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
| State executive officials in Nebraska, May 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General | |
State legislature
Nebraska State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 16 | |
| Republican Party | 32 | |
| Independent | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 1 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Total | 49 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until 2024.
Nebraska Party Control: 1992-2024
Seven years of Democratic trifectas • Twenty-six years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed December 15, 2023
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