United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska, 2022
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May 10, 2022 |
November 8, 2022 |
2022 U.S. House Elections |
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The U.S. House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were on November 8, 2022. Voters elected three candidates to serve in the U.S. House, one from each of the state's three U.S. House districts. The primary was scheduled for May 10, 2022. The filing deadline for an incumbent was February 15, 2022. The filing deadline for non-incumbent candidates was March 1, 2022.
Partisan breakdown
| Members of the U.S. House from Nebraska -- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2022 | After the 2022 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 0 | 0 | |
| Republican Party | 3 | 3 | |
| Total | 3 | 3 | |
Candidates
District 1
General election candidates
- Mike Flood (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Patty Pansing Brooks (Democratic Party)
Democratic primary candidates
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Republican primary candidates
- Mike Flood (Incumbent) ✔
- Jeffrey Fortenberry (unofficially withdrew)
- Curtis Huffman
- John Glen Weaver
- Thireena Yuki Connely
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 2
General election candidates
- Don Bacon (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- Tony Vargas (Democratic Party)
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Republican primary candidates
- Don Bacon (Incumbent) ✔
- Steve Kuehl
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
District 3
General election candidates
- Adrian Smith (Incumbent) (Republican Party) ✔
- David J. Else (Democratic Party)
- Mark Elworth Jr. (Legal Marijuana Now Party)
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Democratic primary candidates
Republican primary candidates
- Adrian Smith (Incumbent) ✔
- Mike Calhoun
Minor Party primary candidates
Legal Marijuana Now Party
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
Click the following links to see the race ratings in each of the state's U.S. House districts:
- Nebraska's 1st Congressional District
- Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District
- Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District
Ballot access
For information on candidate ballot access requirements in Nebraska, click here.
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District maps - A map of the state's districts before and after redistricting.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below were the district maps in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the maps in place before the election.
Nebraska Congressional Districts
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Nebraska Congressional Districts
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Nebraska.
| Nebraska U.S. House primary competitiveness, 2022 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2022 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | 2 | 100.0% | ||||
| 2020 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 66.7% | 2 | 66.7% | ||||
| 2018 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 33.3% | ||||
| 2016 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
| 2014 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 66.7% | 3 | 100.0% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Nebraska in 2022. Information below was calculated on March 25, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
In 2022, 16 candidates filed to run for Nebraska’s three U.S. House districts, including nine Republicans, six Democrats, and one Legal Marijuana Now candidate. That's 5.3 candidates per district, more than the 4.7 candidates per district in 2020 and 3.7 in 2018.
This was the first candidate filing deadline to take place under new district lines adopting during Nebraska's decennial redistricting process. Nebraska was apportioned three congressional districts, the same number it had after the 2010 census.
Incumbent Reps. Don Bacon (R) and Adrian Smith (R) filed for re-election and both drew primary challengers. Former Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (R) also filed for re-election in the 1st District. On March 31, Fortenberry resigned from Congress following his conviction on campaign finance-related charges in federal court. This resignation came after the election withdrawal deadline, meaning Fortenberry's name would remain on the primary ballot.[5]
Since Fortenberry would no longer be an incumbent at the time of the primary, the 1st District was counted as an open seat in this analysis. This created the first open-seat regular election for U.S. House in Nebraska since 2006. The last time an incumbent lost in the state was in 2016 when Bacon defeated one-term incumbent Brad Ashford (D).
Presidential elections
As a result of redistricting following the 2020 census, many district boundaries changed. As a result, analysis of the presidential vote in each of these new districts is not yet available. Once that analysis is available, it will be published here.
Nebraska presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 6 Democratic wins
- 25 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | R | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Nebraska's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Nebraska, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 3 | 5 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Nebraska's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Nebraska, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General | |
State legislature
The table below highlights the partisan composition of the Nebraska State Senate as of November 2022.
Nebraska State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 17 | |
| Republican Party | 32 | |
| Independent | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 49 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Nebraska was a Republican trifecta, with a majority in the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Nebraska Party Control: 1992-2022
Seven years of Democratic trifectas • Twenty-four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Redistricting following the 2020 census
On September 30, 2021, the Nebraska State Legislature approved a new state legislative map, 37-7. Gov. Pete Ricketts signed the map into law shortly afterwards.[6] This map took effect for Nebraska's 2022 legislative elections.
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ KMTV, "Fortenberry resignation sets up unique situation with special election," March 28, 2022
- ↑ Nebraska Legislature, "LB3 - Set boundaries of legislative districts," accessed September 30, 2021
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