United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Oct. 19
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: Sept. 18
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: No ID
- Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
2022 →
← 2018
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| Wyoming's At-Large Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: May 29, 2020 |
| Primary: August 18, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Liz Cheney (R) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Wyoming |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • At-large Wyoming elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
The 2020 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wyoming took place on November 3, 2020. Voters elected one candidate to serve in the U.S. House from the state's one at-large congressional district.
Incumbent Liz Cheney won election in the general election for U.S. House Wyoming At-large District.
| Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
|---|---|---|
Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Liz Cheney, who was first elected in 2016.
Post-election analysis
The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| Presidential and congressional election results, Wyoming At-Large Congressional District, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Presidential | U.S. House |
| Democratic candidate |
26.7 | 24.6 |
| Republican candidate |
70.4 | 68.6 |
| Difference | 43.7 | 44 |
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Wyoming did not modify any procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Partisan breakdown
Heading into the November 3 election, the Republican Party held the At-Large Congressional District seat from Wyoming.
| Members of the U.S. House from Wyoming -- Partisan Breakdown | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | As of November 2020 | After the 2020 Election | |
| Democratic Party | 0 | 0 | |
| Republican Party | 1 | 1 | |
| Total | 1 | 1 | |
Incumbents
Heading into the 2020 election, the incumbent for the one at-large congressional district was:
| Name | Party | District |
|---|---|---|
| Liz Cheney | 1 |
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Wyoming At-large District
Incumbent Liz Cheney defeated Lynnette Grey Bull, Richard Brubaker, and Jeff Haggit in the general election for U.S. House Wyoming At-large District on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Liz Cheney (R) | 68.6 | 185,732 | |
| Lynnette Grey Bull (D) | 24.6 | 66,576 | ||
| Richard Brubaker (L) | 3.7 | 10,154 | ||
| Jeff Haggit (Constitution Party) | 2.9 | 7,905 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 525 | ||
| Total votes: 270,892 | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Wyoming At-large District
Lynnette Grey Bull defeated Carol Hafner and Carl Beach in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wyoming At-large District on August 18, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Lynnette Grey Bull | 60.0 | 14,153 | |
| Carol Hafner | 21.9 | 5,172 | ||
| Carl Beach | 17.4 | 4,107 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.6 | 144 | ||
| Total votes: 23,576 | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Wyoming At-large District
Incumbent Liz Cheney defeated Blake Stanley in the Republican primary for U.S. House Wyoming At-large District on August 18, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Liz Cheney | 73.5 | 78,870 | |
 | Blake Stanley | 26.1 | 28,039 | |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.4 | 454 | ||
| Total votes: 107,363 | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in Wyoming. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Wyoming with 68.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 21.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Wyoming cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 76.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Wyoming supported Republican candidates more often than Democratic candidates, 76.7 to 23.3 percent. The state favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Wyoming. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[1][2]
| In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won five out of 60 state House districts in Wyoming with an average margin of victory of 13.7 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won three out of 60 state House districts in Wyoming with an average margin of victory of 24.1 points. |
| In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 55 out of 60 state House districts in Wyoming with an average margin of victory of 45 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 57 out of 60 state House districts in Wyoming with an average margin of victory of 51 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
| 2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
| 1 | 11.24% | 85.71% | R+74.5 | 7.27% | 88.99% | R+81.7 | R |
| 2 | 17.60% | 79.70% | R+62.1 | 10.91% | 83.36% | R+72.4 | R |
| 3 | 11.12% | 87.05% | R+75.9 | 6.49% | 89.45% | R+83 | R |
| 4 | 26.05% | 70.84% | R+44.8 | 15.61% | 77.84% | R+62.2 | R |
| 5 | 26.26% | 71.59% | R+45.3 | 16.74% | 76.88% | R+60.1 | R |
| 6 | 16.26% | 81.21% | R+65 | 9.43% | 85.01% | R+75.6 | R |
| 7 | 28.36% | 70.01% | R+41.7 | 24.27% | 68.70% | R+44.4 | R |
| 8 | 40.42% | 57.13% | R+16.7 | 37.19% | 54.48% | R+17.3 | R |
| 9 | 38.23% | 59.50% | R+21.3 | 31.57% | 58.11% | R+26.5 | R |
| 10 | 21.27% | 76.44% | R+55.2 | 14.79% | 78.21% | R+63.4 | R |
| 11 | 43.72% | 52.36% | R+8.6 | 34.85% | 55.04% | R+20.2 | R |
| 12 | 41.35% | 55.47% | R+14.1 | 27.83% | 62.31% | R+34.5 | R |
| 13 | 52.91% | 41.43% | D+11.5 | 49.03% | 37.02% | D+12 | D |
| 14 | 41.85% | 53.44% | R+11.6 | 40.33% | 48.15% | R+7.8 | R |
| 15 | 41.25% | 56.03% | R+14.8 | 25.40% | 64.63% | R+39.2 | R |
| 16 | 62.92% | 34.31% | D+28.6 | 66.35% | 25.25% | D+41.1 | D |
| 17 | 33.59% | 62.81% | R+29.2 | 21.53% | 70.03% | R+48.5 | D |
| 18 | 19.74% | 77.99% | R+58.3 | 13.08% | 80.74% | R+67.7 | R |
| 19 | 16.63% | 80.47% | R+63.8 | 11.41% | 80.74% | R+69.3 | R |
| 20 | 17.23% | 80.53% | R+63.3 | 14.51% | 79.68% | R+65.2 | R |
| 21 | 6.92% | 92.19% | R+85.3 | 7.49% | 86.40% | R+78.9 | R |
| 22 | 35.46% | 62.06% | R+26.6 | 35.90% | 57.66% | R+21.8 | R |
| 23 | 48.80% | 48.93% | R+0.1 | 55.89% | 36.72% | D+19.2 | D |
| 24 | 22.73% | 75.27% | R+52.5 | 19.89% | 73.40% | R+53.5 | R |
| 25 | 22.09% | 75.00% | R+52.9 | 18.81% | 73.50% | R+54.7 | R |
| 26 | 16.97% | 80.82% | R+63.9 | 12.21% | 79.51% | R+67.3 | R |
| 27 | 19.91% | 77.45% | R+57.5 | 14.13% | 78.83% | R+64.7 | R |
| 28 | 18.23% | 78.86% | R+60.6 | 13.32% | 79.44% | R+66.1 | R |
| 29 | 28.95% | 68.57% | R+39.6 | 22.80% | 67.97% | R+45.2 | R |
| 30 | 24.51% | 72.88% | R+48.4 | 19.19% | 74.01% | R+54.8 | R |
| 31 | 12.18% | 85.70% | R+73.5 | 6.28% | 88.41% | R+82.1 | R |
| 32 | 14.58% | 83.77% | R+69.2 | 9.87% | 85.48% | R+75.6 | R |
| 33 | 56.07% | 42.24% | D+13.8 | 43.88% | 48.71% | R+4.8 | R |
| 34 | 16.37% | 81.33% | R+65 | 11.82% | 83.41% | R+71.6 | R |
| 35 | 22.53% | 75.07% | R+52.5 | 17.84% | 76.07% | R+58.2 | R |
| 36 | 31.86% | 64.88% | R+33 | 22.04% | 70.04% | R+48 | D |
| 37 | 25.70% | 72.32% | R+46.6 | 20.84% | 72.35% | R+51.5 | R |
| 38 | 22.15% | 75.32% | R+53.2 | 15.08% | 78.87% | R+63.8 | R |
| 39 | 28.42% | 67.88% | R+39.5 | 19.31% | 72.59% | R+53.3 | D |
| 40 | 17.50% | 79.96% | R+62.5 | 14.40% | 80.28% | R+65.9 | R |
| 41 | 41.35% | 55.66% | R+14.3 | 32.58% | 57.38% | R+24.8 | R |
| 42 | 30.25% | 67.49% | R+37.2 | 26.26% | 65.94% | R+39.7 | R |
| 43 | 38.57% | 58.11% | R+19.5 | 28.50% | 61.55% | R+33.1 | R |
| 44 | 51.90% | 44.70% | D+7.2 | 41.02% | 48.67% | R+7.7 | D |
| 45 | 51.24% | 43.62% | D+7.6 | 43.54% | 43.68% | R+0.1 | D |
| 46 | 41.79% | 54.50% | R+12.7 | 37.67% | 52.51% | R+14.8 | R |
| 47 | 21.31% | 75.47% | R+54.2 | 13.82% | 80.13% | R+66.3 | R |
| 48 | 30.34% | 66.16% | R+35.8 | 21.53% | 71.35% | R+49.8 | R |
| 49 | 22.81% | 74.97% | R+52.2 | 18.99% | 71.40% | R+52.4 | R |
| 50 | 16.74% | 81.25% | R+64.5 | 14.54% | 79.22% | R+64.7 | R |
| 51 | 24.13% | 73.76% | R+49.6 | 20.67% | 73.60% | R+52.9 | R |
| 52 | 10.61% | 87.04% | R+76.4 | 5.97% | 89.88% | R+83.9 | R |
| 53 | 16.85% | 80.53% | R+63.7 | 10.18% | 84.03% | R+73.8 | R |
| 54 | 36.87% | 60.26% | R+23.4 | 33.60% | 57.34% | R+23.7 | R |
| 55 | 24.77% | 72.52% | R+47.8 | 18.63% | 74.01% | R+55.4 | R |
| 56 | 34.31% | 61.96% | R+27.6 | 26.93% | 64.03% | R+37.1 | R |
| 57 | 32.45% | 63.83% | R+31.4 | 24.54% | 66.50% | R+42 | R |
| 58 | 23.70% | 73.45% | R+49.8 | 13.62% | 79.63% | R+66 | R |
| 59 | 33.92% | 61.68% | R+27.8 | 21.68% | 69.96% | R+48.3 | R |
| 60 | 30.10% | 66.75% | R+36.6 | 21.45% | 69.85% | R+48.4 | D |
| Total | 28.05% | 69.21% | R+41.2 | 22.48% | 70.06% | R+47.6 | - |
| Source: Daily Kos | |||||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+25, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 25 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Wyoming's At-Large Congressional District the 17th most Republican nationally.[3]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.08. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.08 points toward that party.[4]
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Cheney | Republican Party | $3,010,251 | $3,066,535 | $153,567 | As of December 31, 2020 |
| Lynnette Grey Bull | Democratic Party | $134,648 | $132,286 | $2,363 | As of December 31, 2020 |
| Jeff Haggit | Constitution Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Richard Brubaker | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[5]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[6][7][8]
| Race ratings: Wyoming's At-large Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. | |||||||||
Candidate ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Wyoming in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Wyoming, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2020 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
| Wyoming | At-large District | Major party | 0 | N/A | $200.00 | Fixed number | 5/29/2020 | Source |
| Wyoming | At-large District | Unaffiliated | 4,025 | 2% of all votes cast for U.S. Representative in the last election | $200.00 | Fixed number | 8/25/2020 | Source |
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Wyoming At-large District
Incumbent Liz Cheney defeated Greg Hunter, Richard Brubaker, and Daniel Clyde Cummings in the general election for U.S. House Wyoming At-large District on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Liz Cheney (R) | 63.6 | 127,963 | |
| Greg Hunter (D) | 29.8 | 59,903 | ||
| Richard Brubaker (L) | 3.4 | 6,918 | ||
| Daniel Clyde Cummings (Constitution Party) | 3.0 | 6,070 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 391 | ||
| Total votes: 201,245 | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Wyoming At-large District
Greg Hunter defeated Travis Helm in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Wyoming At-large District on August 21, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Greg Hunter | 61.3 | 10,332 | |
| Travis Helm | 38.7 | 6,527 | ||
| Total votes: 16,859 | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Mark Harvey (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Wyoming At-large District
Incumbent Liz Cheney defeated Rod Miller and Blake Stanley in the Republican primary for U.S. House Wyoming At-large District on August 21, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Liz Cheney | 67.2 | 71,185 | |
| Rod Miller | 20.8 | 22,045 | |
| Blake Stanley | 12.0 | 12,700 | |
| Total votes: 105,930 | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis (R) did not seek re-election in 2016. Liz Cheney (R) defeated Ryan Greene (D), Lawrence Struempf (Libertarian), and Daniel Clyde Cummings (Constitution Party) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Cheney defeated seven other Republican candidates in the primary election, while Greene defeated Charlie Hardy to win the Democratic nomination. The primary elections took place on August 16, 2016. [9][10]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican |  Liz Cheney |
62% | 156,176 | |
| Democratic | Ryan Greene | 30% | 75,466 | |
| Constitution | Daniel Clyde Cummings | 4.1% | 10,362 | |
| Libertarian | Lawrence Struempf | 3.6% | 9,033 | |
| N/A | Write-in | 0.3% | 739 | |
| Total Votes | 251,776 | |||
| Source: Wyoming Secretary of State | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Liz Cheney |
39.9% | 35,043 | ||
| Leland Christensen | 22% | 19,330 | ||
| Tim Stubson | 17.7% | 15,524 | ||
| Darin Smith | 15.2% | 13,381 | ||
| Mike Konsmo | 1.6% | 1,363 | ||
| Jason Senteney | 1.1% | 976 | ||
| Rex Rammell | 1% | 890 | ||
| Paul Paad | 1% | 886 | ||
| Heath Beaudry | 0.6% | 534 | ||
| Total Votes | 87,927 | |||
| Source: Wyoming Secretary of State |
||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Ryan Greene |
58.2% | 10,955 | ||
| Charlie Hardy | 41.8% | 7,868 | ||
| Total Votes | 18,823 | |||
| Source: Wyoming Secretary of State |
||||
2014
Wyoming's At-Large Congressional District held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis (R) defeated Richard Grayson (D), Richard Brubaker (L) and Daniel Clyde Cummings (Constitution) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Cynthia Lummis Incumbent |
68.5% | 113,038 | |
| Democratic | Richard Grayson | 22.9% | 37,803 | |
| Libertarian | Richard Brubaker | 4.3% | 7,112 | |
| Constitution | Daniel Clyde Cummings | 4.1% | 6,749 | |
| N/A | Write-in | 0.2% | 398 | |
| Total Votes | 165,100 | |||
| Source: Wyoming Secretary of State | ||||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
- United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2020
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2020
- List of U.S. Congress incumbents who did not run for re-election in 2020
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2020
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2020
- Democratic Party battleground primaries, 2020
- Republican Party battleground primaries, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Wyoming Secretary of State, "2016 Primary Election Candidate Roster," accessed May 28, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Wyoming House Races Results," August 16, 2016
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