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New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District election, 2020

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New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 12, 2020
Primary: September 8, 2020
General: November 3, 2020
Pre-election incumbent:
Chris Pappas (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: Varies by municipality
Voting in New Hampshire
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic
Inside Elections: Likely Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd
New Hampshire elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 1st Congressional District of New Hampshire, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Chris Pappas won election in the general election for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
June 12, 2020
September 8, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Chris Pappas, who was first elected in 2018.


The 1st District was one of 31 U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election and a Democratic candidate won in the 2018 midterm elections. During the presidential election, Trump received 48 percent of the vote to Hillary Clinton's (D) 47 percent in the 1st District.[1]

From 2010 to 2016, the 1st District switched between Democratic and Republican control four times between two candidates: Shea-Porter and Frank Guinta (R). Guinta challenged and defeated incumbent Shea-Porter in 2010 and 2014. Shea-Porter challenged and defeated incumbent Guinta in 2012 and 2016 before retiring.

New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District is located in the eastern portion of the state. It includes all of Carroll and Strafford counties and parts of Belknap, Grafton, Hillsborough, Merrimack, and Rockingham counties.[2]

This race was one of 89 congressional races that were decided by 10 percent or less in 2020.


Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 52.2 51.3
Republican candidate Republican Party 46.2 46.2
Difference 6 5.1

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

New Hampshire modified its absentee/mail-in voting and candidate filing procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Any voter could request an absentee ballot based on concerns related to COVID-19. Voters could submit one absentee ballot application for both the primary and general elections.
  • Candidate filing procedures: The nomination petition signature requirements for the Libertarian Party's candidates in New Hampshire's general election was reduced by 35 percent.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1

Incumbent Chris Pappas defeated Matt Mowers and Zachary Dumont in the general election for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/CHRIS_PAPPAS.jpg
Chris Pappas (D)
 
51.3
 
205,606
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Matt_Mowers.png
Matt Mowers (R) Candidate Connection
 
46.2
 
185,159
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/zdumont.jpg
Zachary Dumont (L) Candidate Connection
 
2.4
 
9,747
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
149

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 400,661
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1

Incumbent Chris Pappas advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1 on September 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/CHRIS_PAPPAS.jpg
Chris Pappas
 
99.7
 
70,643
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.3
 
194

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 70,837
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1

Matt Mowers defeated Matt Mayberry, Kevin Rondeau, Jeff Denaro, and Michael Callis in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1 on September 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Matt_Mowers.png
Matt Mowers Candidate Connection
 
59.3
 
41,100
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/MattMayberry1.jpg
Matt Mayberry Candidate Connection
 
26.6
 
18,479
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Kevin Rondeau
 
6.1
 
4,203
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/JeffDenaro.JPG
Jeff Denaro Candidate Connection
 
3.9
 
2,723
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Michael-Callis.PNG
Michael Callis
 
3.9
 
2,703
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
132

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 69,340
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways. Either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey or Ballotpedia staff created a profile after identifying the candidate as noteworthy.[3] Ballotpedia staff compiled profiles based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements.

Zachary Dumont

Image of Zachary Dumont

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Libertarian Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: Newmarket Town Council (Assumed office: 2018)

Submitted Biography:  "I was born and raised in Manchester, NH, my home for twenty years. It was here that I acquired an interest in our country's history and American values. I've always had a passion for history, culture, and languages. When I was in high school and through the first half of my collegiate career, I worked with an organization that seeks to bring young Americans together who want to re-shape and re-build their communities. I took these opportunities with gratitude that I was able to use my skill set to give something back to my fellow countrymen. After college, I was elected to the Newmarket Town Council where I've served for the past two years. I can't explain why, but I've always had this urgency within me to do what I can to help others. Simple projects, a helping hand here or other, in some small way asking myself what I could do to pay it forward. In running for Congress, I hope to inspire others to step up to the plate and lend a hand even when the odds seemed stacked against them. In my private life, I enjoy spending time with my fiancée and traveling the US and abroad."

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.

We need to reform our national security priorities and end the United States' obligation as world police.

We need to drastically reduce the cost of healthcare and increase access for all Americans.

We need to end the war on drugs begin to treat addicts as people instead of criminals.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1 in 2020.

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Three of 10 New Hampshire counties—30 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Coos County, New Hampshire 8.89% 17.54% 18.19%
Hillsborough County, New Hampshire 0.20% 1.12% 3.73%
Sullivan County, New Hampshire 2.58% 13.27% 17.93%

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won New Hampshire with 46.8 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 46.5 percent. In presidential elections between 1789 and 2016, New Hampshire voted Republican 50 percent of the time and Democratic 31 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, New Hampshire voted Democratic with the exception of the 2000 presidential election.[4]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Senate districts in New Hampshire. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[5][6]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 12 out of 24 state Senate districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 17.3 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 10 out of 24 state Senate districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 14.5 points. Clinton won two districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 12 out of 24 state Senate districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 5.6 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 14 out of 24 state Senate districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 9.6 points. Trump won two districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in New Hampshire. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[7][8]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 145 out of 204 state House districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 17.8 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 101 out of 204 state House districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 17.1 points.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 59 out of 204 state House districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 9.9 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 103 out of 204 state House districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 12.9 points.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+2, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District the 225th most Republican nationally.[9]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.19. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.19 points toward that party.[10]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[11] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[12] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Chris Pappas Democratic Party $3,222,282 $3,122,214 $213,912 As of December 31, 2020
Matt Mowers Republican Party $1,766,754 $1,758,300 $8,454 As of December 31, 2020
Zachary Dumont Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[13]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[14][15][16]

Race ratings: New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

District represented by a Democrat in 2020 and won by Donald Trump in 2016

See also: U.S. House districts represented by a Democrat in 2020 and won by Donald Trump in 2016

This district was one of 30 Democratic-held U.S. House districts up in 2020 that Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election. Most were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2020.


2020 Democratic-held U.S. House districts won by Donald Trump in 2016
District Incumbent Ran in 2020? 2018 congressional margin 2016 presidential margin 2012 presidential margin
Arizona's 1st Democratic Party Tom O'Halleran Yes Democrats+7.7 Trump+1.1 Romney+2.5
Georgia's 6th Democratic Party Lucy McBath Yes Democrats+1.0 Trump+1.5 Romney+23.3
Illinois' 14th Democratic Party Lauren Underwood Yes Democrats+5.0 Trump+3.9 Romney+10
Illinois' 17th Democratic Party Cheri Bustos Yes Democrats+24.2 Trump+0.7 Obama+17
Iowa's 1st Democratic Party Abby Finkenauer Yes Democrats+5.1 Trump+3.5 Obama+13.7
Iowa's 2nd Democratic Party Dave Loebsack Retired Democrats+5.2 Trump+4.1 Obama+13.1
Iowa's 3rd Democratic Party Cindy Axne Yes Democrats+2.2 Trump+3.5 Obama+4.2
Maine's 2nd Democratic Party Jared Golden Yes Democrats+1.3 Trump+10.3 Obama+8.6
Michigan's 8th Democratic Party Elissa Slotkin Yes Democrats+3.8 Trump+6.7 Romney+3.1
Michigan's 11th Democratic Party Haley Stevens Yes Democrats+6.7 Trump+4.4 Romney+5.4
Minnesota's 2nd Democratic Party Angie Craig Yes Democrats+5.5 Trump+1.2 Obama+0.1
Minnesota's 7th Democratic Party Collin Peterson Yes Democrats+4.3 Trump+30.8 Romney+9.8
Nevada's 3rd Democratic Party Susie Lee Yes Democrats+9.1 Trump+1.0 Obama+0.8
New Hampshire's 1st Democratic Party Chris Pappas Yes Democrats+8.6 Trump+1.6 Obama+1.6
New Jersey's 3rd Democratic Party Andrew Kim Yes Democrats+1.3 Trump+6.2 Obama+4.6
New Jersey's 5th Democratic Party Josh Gottheimer Yes Democrats+13.7 Trump+1.1 Romney+3.0
New Jersey's 11th Democratic Party Mikie Sherrill Yes Democrats+14.6 Trump+0.9 Romney+5.8
New Mexico's 2nd Democratic Party Xochitl Torres Small Yes Democrats+1.9 Trump+10.2 Romney+6.8
New York's 11th Democratic Party Max Rose Yes Democrats+6.5 Trump+9.8 Obama+4.3
New York's 18th Democratic Party Sean Maloney Yes Democrats+10.9 Trump+1.9 Obama+4.3
New York's 19th Democratic Party Antonio Delgado Yes Democrats+5.2 Trump+6.8 Obama+6.2
New York's 22nd Democratic Party Anthony Brindisi Yes Democrats+1.8 Trump+15.5 Romney+0.4
Oklahoma's 5th Democratic Party Kendra Horn Yes Democrats+1.4 Trump+13.4 Romney+18.4
Pennsylvania's 8th Democratic Party Matt Cartwright Yes Democrats+9.3 Trump+9.6 Obama+11.9
Pennsylvania's 17th Democratic Party Conor Lamb Yes Democrats+12.5 Trump+2.6 Romney+4.5
South Carolina's 1st Democratic Party Joe Cunningham Yes Democrats+1.4 Trump+13.1 Romney+18.1
Utah's 4th Democratic Party Ben McAdams Yes Democrats+0.3 Trump+6.7 Romney+37.0
Virginia's 2nd Democratic Party Elaine Luria Yes Democrats+2.2 Trump+3.4 Romney+2.3
Virginia's 7th Democratic Party Abigail Spanberger Yes Democrats+1.9 Trump+6.5 Romney+10.5
Wisconsin's 3rd Democratic Party Ron Kind Yes Democrats+19.3 Trump+4.5 Obama+11
Source: Sabato's Crystal Ball and Daily Kos


Click here to see the five U.S. House districts represented by a Republican in 2020 and won by Hillary Clinton in 2016.

District election history

2018

See also: New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1

Chris Pappas defeated Eddie Edwards and Dan Belforti in the general election for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/CHRIS_PAPPAS.jpg
Chris Pappas (D)
 
53.6
 
155,884
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/fF26b40.jpg
Eddie Edwards (R)
 
45.0
 
130,996
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/d_belforti.jpg
Dan Belforti (L)
 
1.4
 
4,048

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 290,928
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1 on September 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/CHRIS_PAPPAS.jpg
Chris Pappas
 
42.2
 
26,875
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Maura_Sullivan_NH1.png
Maura Sullivan
 
30.4
 
19,313
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Mindi_Messmer.jpg
Mindi Messmer
 
9.7
 
6,142
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/NaomiAndrews.png
Naomi Andrews
 
7.1
 
4,508
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/LincolnSoldati_Headshot.jpg
Lincoln Soldati
 
3.1
 
1,982
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/McEachern.Headshot.jpg
Deaglan McEachern
 
2.7
 
1,709
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/levi-sanders.jpg
Levi Sanders
 
1.8
 
1,141
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Mark_S_MacKenzie.jpg
Mark S. Mackenzie
 
1.2
 
746
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Terence O'Rourke
 
1.0
 
656
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Cardinal_Headshot.jpeg
Paul Cardinal Candidate Connection
 
0.5
 
317
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
William Martin
 
0.4
 
230

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 63,619
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1 on September 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/fF26b40.jpg
Eddie Edwards
 
48.0
 
23,510
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Andy_Sanborn.jpg
Andy Sanborn
 
41.6
 
20,364
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Andy_Martin_NH.jpg
Andy Martin Candidate Connection
 
4.2
 
2,072
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Michael-Callis.PNG
Michael Callis
 
2.6
 
1,254
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/JeffDenaro.JPG
Jeff Denaro
 
2.0
 
963
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Bruce Crochetiere
 
1.6
 
766

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 48,929
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1

Dan Belforti advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1 on September 11, 2018.

Candidate
✔
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/d_belforti.jpg
Dan Belforti

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District election, 2016

New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District was a battleground district in 2016. Carol Shea-Porter (D) defeated incumbent Frank Guinta (R), Robert Lombardo (L), and businessman Shawn O'Connor (I) in the general election on November 8, 2016. This election marked the fourth contest between Guinta and Shea-Porter, who alternately won against one another in elections for this seat since 2010. Guinta defeated Republican challengers Jamieson Gradert, Rich Ashooh, Michael Callis, and Robert Risley in the Republican primary on September 13, 2016. He was a member of the NRCC's Patriot Program, which was designed to assist vulnerable Republican incumbents seeking re-election.[17][18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28]

U.S. House, New Hampshire District 1 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngCarol Shea-Porter 44.3% 162,080
     Republican Frank Guinta Incumbent 43% 157,176
     Independent Shawn O'Connor 9.5% 34,735
     Independent Brendan Kelly 1.7% 6,074
     Libertarian Robert Lombardo 1.5% 5,507
Total Votes 365,572
Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State


U.S. House, New Hampshire District 1 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngFrank Guinta Incumbent 46.6% 26,400
Rich Ashooh 45.3% 25,678
Michael Callis 4% 2,243
Robert Risley 2.4% 1,347
Jamieson Gradert 1.8% 1,031
Total Votes 56,699
Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State

2014

See also: New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District elections, 2014

The 1st Congressional District of New Hampshire held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Former Rep. Frank Guinta (R) defeated incumbent Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, New Hampshire District 1 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Carol Shea-Porter Incumbent 48.1% 116,769
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngFrank Guinta 51.7% 125,508
     N/A Scatter 0.2% 459
Total Votes 242,736
Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State

2012

On November 6, 2012, Carol Shea-Porter (D) won election to the United States House. She defeated Frank Guinta (R) and Brendan Kelly (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, New Hampshire District 1 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Frank Guinta Incumbent 46% 158,659
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngCarol Shea-Porter 49.8% 171,650
     Libertarian Brandan Kelly 4.2% 14,521
Total Votes 344,830
Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Frank Guinta won election to the United States House. He defeated Carol Shea-Porter (D) and Philip Hodson (L) in the general election.[29]

U.S. House, New Hampshire District 1 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngFrank C. Guinta 54% 121,655
     Democratic Carol Shea-Porter incumbent 42.4% 95,503
     Libertarian Philip Hodson 3.5% 7,966
Total Votes 225,124

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Daily Kos, ""Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2016, 2012, and 2008,"" accessed June 24, 2020
  2. ↑ New Hampshire Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed September 25, 2012
  3. ↑ Candidate Connection surveys completed before September 26, 2019, were not used to generate candidate profiles. In battleground primaries, Ballotpedia based its selection of noteworthy candidates on polling, fundraising, and noteworthy endorsements. In battleground general elections, all major party candidates and any other candidates with the potential to impact the outcome of the race were included.
  4. ↑ 270towin.com, "New Hampshire," accessed June 1, 2017
  5. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  6. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  7. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  8. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  9. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  10. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  11. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  12. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  13. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  14. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  15. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  16. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  17. ↑ Roll Call, "Exclusive: NRCC Announces 12 Members in Patriot Program," February 13, 2015
  18. ↑ Politico, "Frank Guinta scandal splits New Hampshire Republicans," May 22, 2015
  19. ↑ New Hampshire Union Leader, "O'Connor names campaign team," March 24, 2015
  20. ↑ New Hampshire Union Leader, Former U.S. Rep. Carol Shea-Porter to run in 1st District election," September 19, 2015
  21. ↑ Politico, "Frank Guinta scandal splits New Hampshire Republicans," May 22, 2015
  22. ↑ Jamieson for Congress, "Home," accessed August 12, 2015
  23. ↑ Twitter, "John Distaso," accessed October 21, 2015
  24. ↑ WMUR9 ABC, "Innis: Guinta violations ‘major factor’ in bid for Congress," October 29, 2015
  25. ↑ New Hampshire Public Radio, "Republican Pam Tucker Enters 1st District Congressional Race," February 18, 2016
  26. ↑ WMUR 9, "1st CD candidate Shawn O’Connor changes affiliation, will run as independent," June 9, 2016
  27. ↑ New Hampshire Secretary of State, "State Primary - September 13, 2016," accessed June 13, 2016
  28. ↑ Politico, "New Hampshire House Primary Results," September 13, 2016
  29. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013


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