Jump to: Electoral College Senate Governor House
Electoral College ratings changes
Nov. 2, 2020
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Florida |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Georgia |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Iowa |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
ME-2 |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
North Carolina |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Ohio |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Oct. 8, 2020
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Arizona |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Georgia |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
New Hampshire |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Oct. 1, 2020
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Iowa |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Minnesota |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Ohio |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Wisconsin |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Sept. 21, 2020
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
ME-2 |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Sept. 10, 2020
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
NE-2 |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
July 14, 2020
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Alaska |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Indiana |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Kansas |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Missouri |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Montana |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
South Carolina |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Utah |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
June 25, 2020
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Florida |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Pennsylvania |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
April 2, 2020
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Colorado |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Maine |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
North Carolina |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Nov. 7, 2019
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Virginia |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Sept. 19, 2019
State |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
New Hampshire |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Senate ratings changes
Nov. 2, 2020
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Joni Ernst (R-IA) |
Leans Democratic |
Leans Republican |
Thom Tillis (R-NC) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
John Cornyn (R-TX) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Oct. 29, 2020
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Kelly Loeffler (R-GA) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
David Perdue (R-GA) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Oct. 20, 2020
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Joni Ernst (R-IA) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Oct. 8, 2020
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Kelly Loeffler (R-GA) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
KS Open (Roberts, R) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Oct. 1, 2020
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Dan Sullivan (R-AK) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Cory Gardner (R-CO) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Sept. 21, 2020
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Susan Collins (R-ME) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Lindsey Graham (R-SC) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Aug. 5, 2020
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Kelly Loeffler (R-GA) |
Leans Republican |
Likely Republican |
Joni Ernst (R-IA) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
July 9, 2020
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
David Perdue (R-GA) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
April 30, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Dan Sullivan (R-AK) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Lindsey Graham (R-SC) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
April 2, 2020
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Martha McSally (R-AZ) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
David Perdue (R-GA) |
Leans Republican |
Likely Republican |
Susan Collins (R-ME) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
March 9, 2020
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Steve Daines (R-MT) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Feb. 20, 2020
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Doug Jones (D-AL) |
Leans Republican |
Likely Republican |
Cory Gardner (R-CO) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Jan. 16, 2020
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Mark Warner (D-VA) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
Oct. 3, 2019
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Doug Jones (D-AL) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Thom Tillis (R-NC) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Aug. 28, 2019
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
GA Special (Isakson, R) |
Not rated |
Leans Republican |
July 8, 2019
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
KS Open (Roberts, R) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
March 25, 2019
Senator |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
NM Open (Udall, D) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Governor ratings changes
Nov. 2, 2020
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
MT Open (Bullock, D) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Oct. 8, 2020
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Phil Scott (R-VT) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
July 14, 2020
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Mike Parson (R-MO) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
May 7, 2020
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Roy Cooper (D-NC) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Chris Sununu (R-NH) |
Leans Republican |
Likely Republican |
Phil Scott (R-VT) |
Leans Republican |
Likely Republican |
Jan. 16, 2020
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Phil Scott (R-VT) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Nov. 14, 2019
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
John Bel Edwards (D-LA) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Oct. 12, 2019
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
John Bel Edwards (D-LA) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
Aug. 22, 2019
Governor |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Jay Inslee (D-WA) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
House rating changes
Nov. 2, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
D. Schweikert (R, AZ-6) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
T.J. Cox (D, CA-21) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
D. Mucarsel-Powell (D, FL-26) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
IN-5 Open (Brooks, R) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Jim Hagedorn (R, MN-1) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
C. Peterson (D, MN-7) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Ann Wagner (R, MO-2) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Don Bacon (R, NE-2) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Susie Lee (D, NV-3) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
Jeff Van Drew (R, NJ-2) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Max Rose (D, NY-11) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
A. Brindisi (D, NY-22) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
John Katko (R, NY-24) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Dan Bishop (R, NC-9) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
NC-11 Open (Meadows, R) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Steve Chabot (R, OH-1) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Kendra Horn (D, OK-5) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Scott Perry (R, PA-10) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Chip Roy (R, TX-21) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
TX-22 Open (Olson, R) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
VA-5 Open (Riggleman, R) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
J. H. Beutler (R, WA-3) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Oct. 20, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Doug LaMalfa (R, CA-1) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Brian Mast (R, FL-18) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Oct. 15, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
A. Kirkpatrick (D, AZ-2) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
Lucy McBath (D, GA-6) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Sharice Davids (D, KS-3) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
Elissa Slotkin (D, MI-8) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Ann Wagner (R, MO-2) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Don Bacon (R, NE-2) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Andy Kim (D, NJ-3) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Peter DeFazio (D, OR-4) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
Oct. 8, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
John Katko (R, NY-24) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Chris Pappas (D, NH-1) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Susan Wild (D, PA-7) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
M. Cartwright (D, PA-8) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Oct. 1, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
D. Schweikert (R, AZ-6) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
T.J. Cox (D, CA-21) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
Charlie Crist (D, FL-13) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
A. Finkenauer (D, IA-1) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Sean Casten (D, IL-6) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
L. Underwood (D, IL-14) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Jared Golden (D, ME-2) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Jim Hagedorn (R, MN-1) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
MT-AL Open (Gianforte, R) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Jeff Van Drew (R, NJ-2) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Lizzie Fletcher (D, TX-7) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
VA-5 Open (Riggleman, R) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Sept. 3, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Don Young (R, AK-AL) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Tom McClintock (R, CA-4) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Mike Garcia (R, CA-25) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
CA-50 Open (Hunter, R) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
D. Mucarsel-Powell (D, FL-26) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
GA-7 Open (R, Woodall) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
NC-11 Open (Meadows, R) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Jared Golden (D, ME-2) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Steve Chabot (R, OH-1) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Scott Perry (R, PA-10) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
J. Cunningham (D, SC-1) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
TX-24 Open (Marchant, R) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
J. H. Beutler (R, WA-3) |
Leans Republican |
Likely Republican |
Kim Schrier (D, WA-8) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
July 23, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
French Hill (R, AR-2) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
IA-2 Open (Loebsack, D) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Richard Hudson (R, NC-8) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Xochitl Torres Small (D, NM-2) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Mike Turner (R, OH-10) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Joe Wilson (R, SC-2) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Chip Roy (R, TX-21) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Ron Kind (D, WI-3) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
July 2, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
David Schweikert (R, AZ-6) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Katie Porter (D, CA-45) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
IN-5 Open (Brooks, R) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Antonio Delgado (D, NY-19) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Peter DeFazio (D, OR-4) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Brian Fitzpatrick (R, PA-1) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Dan Crenshaw (R, TX-2) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Van Taylor (R, TX-3) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Roger Williams (R, TX-25) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Ron Wright (R, TX-6) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
June 30, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
CO-3 Open (Tipton, R) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
June 14, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
VA-5 Open (Riggleman, R) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
June 2, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
IA-4 Open (King, R) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
May 21, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Josh Harder (D, CA-10) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
May 14, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
MI-3 Open (Amash, L) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
April 23, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Angie Craig (D, MN-2) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Dan Bishop (R, NC-9) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Don Bacon (R, NE-2) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Andy Kim (D, NJ-3) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Brian Fitzpatrick (R, PA-1) |
Leans Republican |
Likely Republican |
John Carter (R, TX-31) |
Leans Republican |
Likely Republican |
Ron Kind (D, WI-3) |
Likely Democratic |
Safe Democratic |
April 9, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Tom McClintock (R, CA-4) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Devin Nunes (R, CA-22) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
CA-25 Special (Hill, D) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
Feb. 6, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Josh Harder (D, CA-10) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Mario Diaz-Balart (R, FL-25) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Brian Mast (R, FL-18) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Mike Bost (R, IL-12) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Tim Walberg (R, MI-7) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Jim Hagedorn (R, MN-1) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Pete Stauber (R, MN-8) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Antonio Delgado (D, NY-19) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Troy Balderson (R, OH-12) |
Leans Republican |
Likely Republican |
Dave Joyce (R, OH-14) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Brian Fitzpatrick (R, PA-1) |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
Mike Kelly (R, PA-16) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Lizzie Fletcher (D, TX-7) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
Ben McAdams (D, UT-4) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
Kim Schrier (D, WA-8) |
Leans Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
WI-7 Special (Duffy, R) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Jan. 16, 2020
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
CA-50 Vacant (Hunter, R) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Dec. 15, 2019
Change prompted by Van Drew party switch
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Jeff Van Drew (R, NJ-2) |
Leans Democratic |
Leans Republican |
Dec. 3, 2019
Changes prompted by NC redistricting
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Ted Budd (R, NC-13) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
George Holding (R, NC-2) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Democratic |
Richard Hudson (R, NC-8) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Mark Walker (R, NC-6) |
Safe Republican |
Safe Democratic |
Nov. 11, 2019
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
NY-2 Open (King, R) |
Likely Republican |
Leans Republican |
Oct. 29, 2019
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Conor Lamb (D, PA-17) |
Safe Democratic |
Likely Democratic |
Oct. 27, 2019
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
CA-25 Special (Hill, D) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
Sept. 10, 2019
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Greg Murphy (R, NC-3) |
Likely Republican |
Safe Republican |
Dan Bishop (R, NC-9) |
Toss-up |
Likely Republican |
Sept. 5, 2019
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
NC-3 Special (Jones, R) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
NC-9 Vacant/Special |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Sept. 2, 2019
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Collin Peterson (D, MN-7) |
Leans Democratic |
Toss-up |
Aug. 26, 2019
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
WI-7 Special (Duffy, R) |
Safe Republican |
Likely Republican |
Aug. 5, 2019
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
TX-24 Open (Marchant, R) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
Aug. 1, 2019
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
NC-9 Vacant/Special |
Toss-up |
Leans Republican |
TX-23 Open (Hurd, R) |
Toss-up |
Leans Democratic |
July 25, 2019
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
TX-22 Open (Olson, R) |
Leans Republican |
Toss-up |
July 18, 2019
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
T.J. Cox (D, CA-21) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |
July 4, 2019
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
Rep. Justin Amash (I, MI-3) |
Likely Republican |
Toss-up |
June 14, 2019
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
IN-5 Open (Brooks, R) |
Safe Republican |
Leans Republican |
April 12, 2019
Member/District |
Old Rating |
New Rating |
IA-2 Open (Loebsack, D) |
Likely Democratic |
Toss-up |
Tom Malinowski (D, NJ-7) |
Likely Democratic |
Leans Democratic |